Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 6.194163 6.823597 7.541562 8.433839 9.532014 10.866805 12.658441
2024-12-29 5.433323 6.249967 7.261768 8.652275 10.596266 13.373119 18.014815
2025-01-05 4.835464 5.746133 6.949503 8.749097 11.579743 16.372025 26.980835
2025-01-12 4.235777 5.141568 6.391338 8.375992 11.794420 18.504016 38.686742
2025-01-19 3.745065 4.615817 5.855846 7.917404 11.740317 20.317858 57.236503
2025-01-26 3.583399 4.525188 5.937175 8.475760 13.871686 30.050820 358.837543
2025-02-02 3.567070 4.641721 6.361901 9.804124 18.857391 70.351503 NaN
2025-02-09 3.435890 4.564604 6.457481 10.568989 23.646052 248.881753 NaN
2025-02-16 3.283574 4.433273 6.434320 11.092867 28.928788 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 3.128929 4.278926 6.341465 11.434204 34.804909 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 2.896468 3.970218 5.906599 10.740958 33.762990 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 2.788346 3.864079 5.855401 11.102669 41.563090 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 2.562695 3.555341 5.397807 10.280498 39.276500 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 2.442106 3.421913 5.284955 10.486419 49.364258 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 2.322242 3.279369 5.134375 10.539945 61.189060 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 2.174048 3.074277 4.824888 9.965609 60.361785 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 2.034866 2.876537 4.511971 9.305726 55.792176 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 1.993953 2.854217 4.578808 10.019724 100.239491 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.000793 2.920616 4.859109 11.804087 2743.440015 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 1.963468 2.899324 4.931875 12.844722 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-11 1.914396 2.850505 4.929063 13.561363 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-18 1.860505 2.787512 4.880458 14.027095 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.770633 2.646431 4.610876 13.023996 NaN NaN NaN